Head to head
G. Magalhães vs Pedri
Two transparent 100-point cases. The same methodology, compared component by component.
Real-data provisional ranking
Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.
Rank #30
Gabriel Magalhães
Arsenal · Defender
Rank #3
Pedri
Barcelona · Midfielder
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Role output is the 59th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Role output is the 87th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Creation & progression is the 70th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Creation & progression is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
All-round role contribution is the 58th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
All-round role contribution is the 87th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Efficiency & execution is the 79th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Efficiency & execution is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Availability combines 4351 minutes (78% of team opportunity), 51 appearances, and 73% smooth consistency credit.
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency
Pedri
Availability combines 3435 minutes (60% of team opportunity), 49 appearances, and 85% smooth consistency credit.
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 22 appearances, 1934 minutes, and 56th role-impact percentile.
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
Pedri
Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 20 appearances, 1504 minutes, and 63rd role-impact percentile.
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Knockout credit uses 10 appearances and 912 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.
75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume
Pedri
Knockout credit uses 12 appearances and 708 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.
75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Match-state events produce 5.96 leverage units from 10 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 65th-percentile proxy.
80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy
Pedri
Match-state events produce 4.13 leverage units from 13 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 94th-percentile proxy.
80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy
Compare the evidence
G. Magalhães
Team credit: UEFA Champions League runner up (0.83 credit); Premier League winner (0.72 credit); FIFA World Cup round of 16 (0.09 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.30 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights
Pedri
Team credit: FIFA World Cup winner (1.01 credit); La Liga winner (0.63 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.19 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.46 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights