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J. Kimmich vs K. Kvaratskhelia

Two transparent 100-point cases. The same methodology, compared component by component.

Real-data provisional ranking

Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence, plus dated official-source individual award records. The locked 2024–2025 vote-forecast holdout is complete but failed its publication thresholds; its experimental ranking is disclosed separately from football merit.

As of 2026-07-31

Rank #16

Joshua Kimmich

Bayern München · Midfielder

67.6
Individual35.7 / 55
Decisive20.8 / 25
Team11.1 / 20

Rank #1

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint Germain · Forward

82.5
Individual45.1 / 55
Decisive22.0 / 25
Team15.4 / 20
ComponentJ. KimmichΔK. Kvaratskhelia
Role output
12.9-1.314.2
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Role output is the 86th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Role output is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Creation & progression
8.2-1.39.5
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Creation & progression is the 82nd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Creation & progression is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

All-round role contribution
3.8-2.96.7
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

All-round role contribution is the 48th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

All-round role contribution is the 84th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Efficiency & execution
5.85.8
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Efficiency & execution is the 82nd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Efficiency & execution is the 83rd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Availability & consistency
4.2+1.13.1
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Availability combines 4333 minutes (83% of team opportunity), 52 appearances, and 82% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

K. Kvaratskhelia

Availability combines 2687 minutes (56% of team opportunity), 45 appearances, and 62% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

Individual accolades
0.8-55.8
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Verified individual honors: Official Team of the Season or Tournament selection (0.75). Tier caps convert 0.75 direct points to 0.75 of 10.0.

published direct award points; sum within competition tier, apply the tier cap, sum tiers, then apply the 10-point component cap

K. Kvaratskhelia

Verified individual honors: Champions League Player of the Season (4.50); Official Team of the Season or Tournament selection (1.25). Tier caps convert 5.75 direct points to 5.75 of 10.0.

published direct award points; sum within competition tier, apply the tier cap, sum tiers, then apply the 10-point component cap

Strong-opposition performance
3.3+0.13.2
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 22 appearances, 1925 minutes, and 59th role-impact percentile.

85% minutes-weighted role impact + 15% capped 900-minute volume

K. Kvaratskhelia

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 20 appearances, 1325 minutes, and 57th role-impact percentile.

85% minutes-weighted role impact + 15% capped 900-minute volume

Knockout & final impact
6.7-0.47.1
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Knockout credit combines 0.81 event-leverage units from 3 goal/assist/penalty events with 10 appearances and 930 minutes.

70% stage- and prestige-weighted event leverage + 25% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 5% capped 900-minute prestige volume

K. Kvaratskhelia

Knockout credit combines 7.66 event-leverage units from 10 goal/assist/penalty events with 10 appearances and 761 minutes.

70% stage- and prestige-weighted event leverage + 25% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 5% capped 900-minute prestige volume

Match-swinging contribution
10.8-0.911.7
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Match-state events produce 5.18 leverage units from 16 goal/assist/penalty events; the score uses verified event leverage without a generalized role-output proxy.

100% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (65% volume, 35% rate); generalized role output receives no match-swing credit

K. Kvaratskhelia

Match-state events produce 14.81 leverage units from 28 goal/assist/penalty events; the score uses verified event leverage without a generalized role-output proxy.

100% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (65% volume, 35% rate); generalized role output receives no match-swing credit

Team performance & achievements
11.1-4.315.4
Compare the evidence

J. Kimmich

Team credit: Bundesliga winner (0.66 credit); UEFA Champions League semi final (0.52 credit); DFB-Pokal winner (0.42 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.11 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

K. Kvaratskhelia

Team credit: UEFA Champions League winner (1.27 credit); Ligue 1 winner (0.46 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.54 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

Final index67.682.5