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K. Mbappé vs K. Kvaratskhelia

Two transparent 100-point cases. The same methodology, compared component by component.

Real-data provisional ranking

Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.

As of 2026-07-26

Rank #24

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid · Forward

69.2
Individual43.9 / 55
Decisive17.8 / 25
Team7.5 / 20

Rank #1

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint Germain · Forward

81.8
Individual47.8 / 55
Decisive18.6 / 25
Team15.4 / 20
ComponentK. MbappéΔK. Kvaratskhelia
Role output
17.3+0.317.0
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Role output is the 96th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Role output is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Creation & progression
10.5-0.911.4
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Creation & progression is the 88th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Creation & progression is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

All-round role contribution
4.3-4.18.4
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

All-round role contribution is the 43rd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

All-round role contribution is the 84th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Efficiency & execution
6.5-0.26.7
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Efficiency & execution is the 81st role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

K. Kvaratskhelia

Efficiency & execution is the 83rd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Availability & consistency
5.3+14.3
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Availability combines 4304 minutes (77% of team opportunity), 51 appearances, and 59% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

K. Kvaratskhelia

Availability combines 2687 minutes (56% of team opportunity), 45 appearances, and 62% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

Strong-opposition performance
4.9-0.45.3
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 20 appearances, 1637 minutes, and 51st role-impact percentile.

80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume

K. Kvaratskhelia

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 20 appearances, 1325 minutes, and 57th role-impact percentile.

80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume

Knockout & final impact
6.1-0.56.6
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Knockout credit uses 9 appearances and 723 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.

75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume

K. Kvaratskhelia

Knockout credit uses 10 appearances and 761 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.

75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume

Match-swinging contribution
6.8+0.16.7
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Match-state events produce 28.13 leverage units from 63 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 95th-percentile proxy.

80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy

K. Kvaratskhelia

Match-state events produce 14.81 leverage units from 28 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 94th-percentile proxy.

80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy

Team performance & achievements
7.5-7.915.4
Compare the evidence

K. Mbappé

Team credit: FIFA World Cup semi final (0.57 credit); La Liga runner up (0.21 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.19 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 0.75 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

K. Kvaratskhelia

Team credit: UEFA Champions League winner (1.27 credit); Ligue 1 winner (0.46 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.54 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

Final index69.281.8