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Head to head

L. Yamal vs Pedri

Two transparent 100-point cases. The same methodology, compared component by component.

Real-data provisional ranking

Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.

As of 2026-07-26

Rank #2

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona · Midfielder

81.7
Individual44.9 / 55
Decisive18.7 / 25
Team18.1 / 20

Rank #3

Pedri

Barcelona · Midfielder

80.8
Individual48.1 / 55
Decisive18.1 / 25
Team14.6 / 20
ComponentL. YamalΔPedri
Role output
17.2+1.515.7
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Role output is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Pedri

Role output is the 87th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Creation & progression
10.6-0.811.4
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Creation & progression is the 88th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Pedri

Creation & progression is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

All-round role contribution
6.9-1.88.7
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

All-round role contribution is the 69th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Pedri

All-round role contribution is the 87th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Efficiency & execution
4.9-2.77.6
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Efficiency & execution is the 62nd role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Pedri

Efficiency & execution is the 95th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).

weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; raw action rates use frozen pre-match field-strength adjustment and ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage

Availability & consistency
5.3+0.64.7
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Availability combines 4214 minutes (74% of team opportunity), 51 appearances, and 80% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

Pedri

Availability combines 3435 minutes (60% of team opportunity), 49 appearances, and 85% smooth consistency credit.

60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% smooth 30+ minute match-impact consistency

Strong-opposition performance
5.3-0.35.6
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 23 appearances, 2055 minutes, and 57th role-impact percentile.

80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume

Pedri

Against opponents at or above the 75th pre-match Elo percentile: 20 appearances, 1504 minutes, and 63rd role-impact percentile.

80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume

Knockout & final impact
6.6+0.36.3
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Knockout credit uses 14 appearances and 1292 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.

75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume

Pedri

Knockout credit uses 12 appearances and 708 minutes, weighted by both stage and competition prestige.

75% stage-, prestige-, and minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 900-minute prestige volume

Match-swinging contribution
6.8+0.66.2
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Match-state events produce 15.42 leverage units from 42 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 98th-percentile proxy.

80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy

Pedri

Match-state events produce 4.13 leverage units from 13 goal/assist/penalty events; untimed role actions in high-uncertainty fixtures add a 94th-percentile proxy.

80% expected-points-added goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 20% position-specific high-uncertainty action proxy

Team performance & achievements
18.1+3.514.6
Compare the evidence

L. Yamal

Team credit: FIFA World Cup winner (1.35 credit); La Liga winner (0.62 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.21 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.81 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

Pedri

Team credit: FIFA World Cup winner (1.01 credit); La Liga winner (0.63 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.19 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.46 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.

finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights

Final index81.780.8