Head to head
V. Júnior vs Pedri
Two transparent 100-point cases. The same methodology, compared component by component.
Real-data provisional ranking
Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.
Rank #24
Vinicius Júnior
Real Madrid · Forward
Rank #1
Pedri
Barcelona · Midfielder
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Role output is the 88th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Role output is the 86th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Creation & progression is the 92th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Creation & progression is the 94th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
All-round role contribution is the 66th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
All-round role contribution is the 80th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Efficiency & execution is the 65th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Pedri
Efficiency & execution is the 97th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Availability combines 4436 minutes (86% of team opportunity), 55 appearances, and 43% above-median performances.
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% share of 30+ minute matches at or above the role median
Pedri
Availability combines 3301 minutes (63% of team opportunity), 46 appearances, and 88% above-median performances.
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% share of 30+ minute matches at or above the role median
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V. Júnior
Against opponents at or above the 60th pre-match Elo percentile: 24 appearances, 2045 minutes, and 46th role-impact percentile.
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
Pedri
Against opponents at or above the 60th pre-match Elo percentile: 18 appearances, 1255 minutes, and 60th role-impact percentile.
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
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V. Júnior
Knockout credit uses 8 appearances and 720 minutes, weighted from round of 32 through the final.
75% stage-and-minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 540-minute volume
Pedri
Knockout credit uses 9 appearances and 574 minutes, weighted from round of 32 through the final.
75% stage-and-minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 540-minute volume
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Match-state events produce 25.56 leverage units from 38 goals/assists/penalty events; role-specific close-match actions add a 92th-percentile signal.
65% score-state goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 35% position-specific close-match action rate
Pedri
Match-state events produce 6.35 leverage units from 13 goals/assists/penalty events; role-specific close-match actions add a 93th-percentile signal.
65% score-state goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 35% position-specific close-match action rate
Compare the evidence
V. Júnior
Team credit: La Liga runner up (0.25 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.21 credit); FIFA World Cup round of 16 (0.10 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 0.41 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights
Pedri
Team credit: FIFA World Cup winner (1.22 credit); La Liga winner (0.71 credit); UEFA Champions League quarter final (0.22 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.71 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights