Rank 09 · 2026 race
Declan Rice
Arsenal · England · Midfielder
Real-data provisional ranking
Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.
#9 in the index
No change since the previous snapshot
Explanation
Declan Rice ranks #9 on 72.0. Efficiency & execution is the strongest relative component; All-round role contribution is the clearest constraint. This temporary deterministic explanation will be replaced by the build-time AI Gateway pass.
Why the rank moved
This is the first real-data snapshot, so no ranking movement is claimed.
Jury context
Football case vs. vote environment.
This research layer estimates visibility and recognition around the journalist ballot. It never changes the player’s 100-point football merit score.
Context
0.0 / 10
Vote forecast
Held
context incomplete
Club visibility
0.0 / 2Club visibility is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
League visibility
0.0 / 1.5League visibility is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Recognition & aura
0.0 / 2.5Recognition & aura is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Media momentum
0.0 / 4Media momentum is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Preview formula: 92% merit score + 8% jury context. The 8% is a configurable research hypothesis and must survive the historical holdout before NinetyIQ treats this as a validated forecast.
Score waterfall
Base → nine components → 72.0
Each bar adds its published contribution. The final bar must equal the exact sum of the components or the build fails.
Full decomposition
Every point, in one sentence.
Role output
Role output is the 82th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 56 observations · 100% coverage
key passes per 90
2.051
assists per 90
0.171
accurate passes per 90
33.435
assists
9
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
14.8 / 18
Creation & progression
Creation & progression is the 71th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 56 observations · 100% coverage
key passes per 90
2.051
accurate passes per 90
33.435
assists per 90
0.171
successful dribbles per 90
0.418
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
8.5 / 12
All-round role contribution
All-round role contribution is the 49th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 56 observations · 100% coverage
tackles per 90
1.861
interceptions per 90
1.083
duels won per 90
3.627
duel success
0.588
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
4.9 / 10
Efficiency & execution
Efficiency & execution is the 86th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 56 observations · 100% coverage
pass completion
0.552
duel success
0.588
dribble success
0.51
shot accuracy
0.497
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
6.9 / 8
Availability & consistency
Availability combines 4739 minutes (85% of team opportunity), 56 appearances, and 70% above-median performances.
How this was calculated
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% share of 30+ minute matches at or above the role median
Source: API-Football fixture participation and team schedules
Evidence: 56 observations · 100% coverage
minutes
4739 minutes
minutes share
0.854
appearance share
0.918
consistency share
0.704
• Opportunity is the full schedule of every team-competition represented.
5.9 / 7
Strong-opposition performance
Against opponents at or above the 60th pre-match Elo percentile: 31 appearances, 2687 minutes, and 54th role-impact percentile.
How this was calculated
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
Source: API-Football player-fixture statistics plus NinetyIQ leak-free pre-match Elo
Evidence: 31 observations · 100% coverage
strong-opposition matches
31
minutes
2687 minutes
mean role impact
0.539
• Opponent strength is frozen before kickoff.
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
5.0 / 8
Knockout & final impact
Knockout credit uses 11 appearances and 979 minutes, weighted from round of 32 through the final.
How this was calculated
75% stage-and-minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 540-minute volume
Source: API-Football player-fixture statistics plus NinetyIQ leak-free pre-match Elo
Evidence: 11 observations · 100% coverage
knockout matches
11
minutes
979 minutes
mean role impact
0.505
• Opponent strength is frozen before kickoff.
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
6.3 / 10
Match-swinging contribution
Match-state events produce 9.25 leverage units from 15 goals/assists/penalty events; role-specific close-match actions add a 59th-percentile signal.
How this was calculated
65% score-state goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 35% position-specific close-match action rate
Source: API-Football event timelines and player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 15 observations · 100% coverage
event leverage
9.251
score-changing event actions
15
close-match action percentile
0.588
• Equalizers and go-ahead goals receive more credit than score extensions.
• API-Football lacks timestamped defensive actions; their close-match rate is a disclosed proxy.
5.4 / 7
Team performance & achievements
Team credit: Premier League winner (0.81 credit); UEFA Champions League runner up (0.78 credit); FIFA World Cup semi final (0.52 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.43 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
How this was calculated
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights
Source: API-Football standings, tournament results, player minutes, role impact, and pre-match Elo
Evidence: 3 observations · 100% coverage
Premier League
0.806
UEFA Champions League
0.778
FIFA World Cup
0.515
• Evidence is normalized to a 2.00 ceiling.
• Team success is not awarded equally to every squad member.
14.3 / 20