Rank 08 · 2026 race
Harry Kane
Bayern München · England · Forward
Real-data provisional ranking
Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.
#8 in the index
No change since the previous snapshot
Explanation
Harry Kane ranks #8 on 73.2. Efficiency & execution is the strongest relative component; Team performance & achievements is the clearest constraint. This temporary deterministic explanation will be replaced by the build-time AI Gateway pass.
Why the rank moved
This is the first real-data snapshot, so no ranking movement is claimed.
Jury context
Football case vs. vote environment.
This research layer estimates visibility and recognition around the journalist ballot. It never changes the player’s 100-point football merit score.
Context
0.0 / 10
Vote forecast
Held
context incomplete
Club visibility
0.0 / 2Club visibility is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
League visibility
0.0 / 1.5League visibility is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Recognition & aura
0.0 / 2.5Recognition & aura is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Media momentum
0.0 / 4Media momentum is unavailable and no vote forecast is published; NinetyIQ does not impute popularity.
Preview formula: 92% merit score + 8% jury context. The 8% is a configurable research hypothesis and must survive the historical holdout before NinetyIQ treats this as a validated forecast.
Score waterfall
Base → nine components → 73.2
Each bar adds its published contribution. The final bar must equal the exact sum of the components or the build fails.
Full decomposition
Every point, in one sentence.
Role output
Role output is the 94th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 51 observations · 100% coverage
non-penalty goals per 90
0.883
non-penalty goals
40
assists per 90
0.177
assists
8
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
17.0 / 18
Creation & progression
Creation & progression is the 70th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 51 observations · 100% coverage
key passes per 90
1.347
successful dribbles per 90
1.148
assists per 90
0.177
accurate passes per 90
5.48
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
8.3 / 12
All-round role contribution
All-round role contribution is the 60th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 51 observations · 100% coverage
duels won per 90
4.682
duel success
0.511
successful dribbles per 90
1.148
fouls drawn per 90
1.413
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
6.0 / 10
Efficiency & execution
Efficiency & execution is the 98th role-cohort percentile from 4 disclosed metric families (100% weight coverage).
How this was calculated
weighted mean of position-specific metric percentiles; ratios use empirical-Bayes shrinkage
Source: API-Football embedded player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 51 observations · 100% coverage
non-penalty conversion
0.291
shot accuracy
0.694
dribble success
0.574
pass completion
0.209
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
• Rates and totals are compared only within the same position.
7.8 / 8
Availability & consistency
Availability combines 4075 minutes (80% of team opportunity), 51 appearances, and 67% above-median performances.
How this was calculated
60% minutes share + 15% appearance share + 10% start share + 15% share of 30+ minute matches at or above the role median
Source: API-Football fixture participation and team schedules
Evidence: 51 observations · 100% coverage
minutes
4075 minutes
minutes share
0.804
appearance share
0.911
consistency share
0.673
• Opportunity is the full schedule of every team-competition represented.
5.6 / 7
Strong-opposition performance
Against opponents at or above the 60th pre-match Elo percentile: 23 appearances, 1718 minutes, and 52th role-impact percentile.
How this was calculated
80% minutes-weighted role impact + 20% capped 900-minute volume
Source: API-Football player-fixture statistics plus NinetyIQ leak-free pre-match Elo
Evidence: 23 observations · 100% coverage
strong-opposition matches
23
minutes
1718 minutes
mean role impact
0.523
• Opponent strength is frozen before kickoff.
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
4.9 / 8
Knockout & final impact
Knockout credit uses 9 appearances and 822 minutes, weighted from round of 32 through the final.
How this was calculated
75% stage-and-minutes-weighted role impact + 25% capped 540-minute volume
Source: API-Football player-fixture statistics plus NinetyIQ leak-free pre-match Elo
Evidence: 9 observations · 100% coverage
knockout matches
9
minutes
822 minutes
mean role impact
0.498
• Opponent strength is frozen before kickoff.
• API-Football opaque player ratings are excluded.
6.2 / 10
Match-swinging contribution
Match-state events produce 38.88 leverage units from 64 goals/assists/penalty events; role-specific close-match actions add a 67th-percentile signal.
How this was calculated
65% score-state goal/assist leverage (60% volume, 40% rate) + 35% position-specific close-match action rate
Source: API-Football event timelines and player-fixture statistics
Evidence: 64 observations · 100% coverage
event leverage
38.879
score-changing event actions
64
close-match action percentile
0.674
• Equalizers and go-ahead goals receive more credit than score extensions.
• API-Football lacks timestamped defensive actions; their close-match rate is a disclosed proxy.
6.1 / 7
Team performance & achievements
Team credit: Bundesliga winner (0.73 credit); UEFA Champions League semi final (0.47 credit); FIFA World Cup semi final (0.40 credit). Diminishing-return evidence is 1.13 against the disclosed 2.00 ceiling.
How this was calculated
finish × prestige × route × participation × importance; credits then receive 1.0/0.6/0.3/0.1 diminishing weights
Source: API-Football standings, tournament results, player minutes, role impact, and pre-match Elo
Evidence: 3 observations · 100% coverage
Bundesliga
0.731
UEFA Champions League
0.465
FIFA World Cup
0.399
• Evidence is normalized to a 2.00 ceiling.
• Team success is not awarded equally to every squad member.
11.3 / 20